Nashville is in for a dramatic weather shift this week, with unseasonably warm temperatures giving way to a sharp cooldown as the weekend approaches. The city will see a taste of spring midweek, with highs soaring to 80°F (26°C) on Wednesday. But don’t let the warmth fool you—a strong cold front is on the way, bringing a nearly 30-degree temperature drop by Sunday.
This sudden change will have locals swapping short sleeves for jackets in just a matter of days. For those planning outdoor activities, now is the time to enjoy the warmth before colder air moves in and reminds everyone that winter isn’t quite over yet.
What’s Causing This Sudden Shift?
The burst of warm air is the result of a strong high-pressure system currently hovering over the Southeast. This system is pulling in warm southern air, creating conditions more typical of late April than late February. However, this warm spell won’t last. By Thursday, a cold front will push through Middle Tennessee, ushering in cooler air and shifting the region’s weather pattern dramatically.
This type of rapid temperature swing is common during seasonal transitions, but the contrast between Wednesday’s warmth and Sunday’s chill will be particularly striking.
Nashville 5-Day Weather Forecast
- Thursday, February 27: A noticeable drop in temperatures as clouds give way to sunshine. High of 57°F (14°C), with a chilly overnight low of 33°F (1°C).
- Friday, February 28: Pleasant and sunny, though breezy in the afternoon. High of 63°F (17°C), cooling down to 44°F (7°C) at night.
- Saturday, March 1: Partly sunny and seasonably cool. High of 63°F (17°C), dropping to 32°F (0°C) overnight.
- Sunday, March 2: A significant cooldown—mostly sunny, but much colder, with a high of 50°F (10°C) and a low of 34°F (1°C).

What This Means for Nashville Residents
This midweek warmth is the perfect excuse to get outside, whether it’s a walk through Centennial Park, rooftop dining in The Gulch, or catching some live music downtown. However, a sudden shift to cooler weather means Tennesseans should keep their jackets close by. Morning and evening temperatures will be noticeably chillier, especially by the weekend.
Drivers should also be mindful of gusty winds accompanying the cold front, which could make road conditions a bit tricky on Thursday and Friday.
If you’re planning weekend activities, Saturday will still feel relatively mild, but Sunday will bring the biggest temperature drop, making it a day for coats and warm layers.
Looking Ahead: What’s in Store for March?
Early March is expected to bring a mix of warm and cool days, with temperatures fluctuating between the upper 50s and low 60s. While no major storms or deep freezes are on the horizon, the potential for more temperature swings remains high as winter transitions into spring.