Tampa, get ready for a dramatic weather shift as we move from chilly mornings to hot, humid afternoons in just a matter of days. Temperatures will fluctuate by nearly 40 degrees, and to top it off, thunderstorms could crash the party by Sunday! If you thought spring was settling in smoothly, Mother Nature has other plans.
Right now, skies are mostly clear, and temperatures sit at 59°F (15°C)—a calm start to what will be a week of big weather swings. While Thursday and Friday bring cool mornings and pleasant afternoons, the weekend will turn up the heat, with highs climbing into the 80s before storms roll in on Sunday.
Why Is Tampa’s Weather Changing So Fast?
A high-pressure system over Florida is keeping things cooler and dry for now, but as it shifts eastward, warm and humid air from the Gulf of Mexico will surge in, creating perfect conditions for storms to develop.
The key factors driving these changes:
- Cool mornings to start the week thanks to drier air.
- A rapid warm-up by the weekend, pushing highs into the 80s.
- A storm system moving in Sunday afternoon, increasing the risk of thunderstorms and gusty winds.
This is a classic Florida transition, where the seasons battle it out, and each day feels completely different from the one before.

Breaking Down the Forecast
Thursday (Crisp and Comfortable!)
- High: 68°F (20°C) | Low: 46°F (8°C)
- Sunny skies and lower humidity will make for a refreshing day—a rare treat for Florida this time of year!
Friday (Getting Warmer, Still Comfortable!)
- High: 77°F (25°C) | Low: 54°F (12°C)
- A mix of sun and clouds with temperatures beginning to rise, but still pleasant and mild overall.
Saturday (Spring-Like Warmth Sets In!)
- High: 77°F (25°C) | Low: 63°F (17°C)
- A bit more humidity sneaks in, but still a great day for outdoor plans.
Sunday (Storms Incoming—Be Ready!)
- High: 82°F (28°C) | Low: 63°F (17°C)
- The warmest and most humid day of the week—but don’t be fooled! Thunderstorms could develop in the late afternoon, bringing gusty winds and heavy rain.
Monday (Cooling Down Again)
- High: 73°F (23°C) | Low: 52°F (11°C)
- A morning shower or two possible, then a drop in temperatures as cooler air moves back in.
What Tampa Residents Need to Know
- Mornings and Nights Will Be Cool—But Don’t Let That Fool You! Temperatures will soar into the 80s by the weekend, so dress in layers.
- Storms Could Disrupt Outdoor Plans on Sunday. If you have activities scheduled, keep an eye on the sky and be prepared for possible lightning and gusty winds.
Beachgoers, Be Aware of Changing Conditions. Warmer waters and humid air could make for stronger rip currents and rougher surf.
Watch for Road Hazards During Storms. Heavy rain can cause slick roads and reduce visibility, so drive carefully if storms hit.
Enjoy the Sunshine, But Stay Weather-Aware. The next few days will be perfect for outdoor plans, but don’t forget that Florida’s weather can turn quickly!
Final Thoughts
Tampa is in for a wild mix of weather this week, with cool, crisp mornings leading to a hot, stormy weekend. By Sunday, high humidity and thunderstorms will remind us that spring in Florida is anything but predictable.