Get ready for one of the most dramatic weather swings of the season. Nashville is set to experience two seasons in just 24 hours, with unseasonably warm temperatures on Saturday, followed by powerful thunderstorms, potential flooding, and a massive temperature drop into the 20s by Sunday night.
The National Weather Service has issued warnings for severe weather, including strong winds, heavy rain, and the risk of flash flooding, as a powerful cold front moves into the region. By Sunday, the rain will clear out, but Nashville will be left shivering as temperatures plunge nearly 40 degrees, bringing the risk of icy roads and dangerous wind chills.
Saturday, February 15: Severe Storms, Flash Flooding, and Dangerous Winds
Saturday will start deceptively mild, with morning temperatures in the low 60s climbing to a high of 66°F (19°C) by the afternoon. But don’t let the warmth fool you—a major storm system is brewing, and conditions will rapidly deteriorate as the evening approaches.
- By late afternoon and evening, strong thunderstorms will move in, bringing heavy rain, damaging winds, and even the risk of isolated tornadoes.
- Winds could gust over 50 mph, strong enough to knock down tree limbs and power lines. Some power outages are possible.
- Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected, with localized flash flooding in low-lying areas.
- Travel will be hazardous Saturday night, with heavy rain reducing visibility and roads becoming slick.
Sunday, February 16: From Rain to a Deep Freeze
Once the storms move out, Nashville won’t just cool down—it will plunge into winter-like conditions.
- By sunrise Sunday, temperatures will be hovering around 40°F (5°C), but they won’t stop dropping.
- The high for the day will barely reach 38°F (3°C), and with gusty winds, it will feel even colder.
- By Sunday evening, temperatures will crash into the low 20s (-6°C), with a real-feel in the teens.
What Makes This Weather Change So Dangerous?
1. Rapid Temperature Drop – This kind of fast-moving cold front creates a flash freeze risk, where wet roads and sidewalks can quickly turn to ice as temperatures drop below freezing. Bridges and overpasses will freeze first, so expect slick spots Sunday night and Monday morning.
2. Strong Winds & Power Outages – Wind gusts of 50 mph on Saturday night could bring down power lines, leaving some areas without heat just as the coldest air arrives.
3. Flash Flooding Risk – Nashville’s storm drains could struggle to keep up with heavy rain, especially in areas prone to flooding. Avoid driving through standing water—it only takes a few inches to sweep a car away.
How to Stay Safe This Weekend
- Stay Weather-Aware: The risk for severe storms, damaging winds, and flash flooding is highest Saturday night. Keep an eye on local weather updates, and be prepared for possible tornado warnings.
- Secure Loose Items: High winds could send outdoor furniture, trash cans, and decorations flying. Tie them down or bring them inside before Saturday night.
- Be Prepared for Icy Roads: If you must drive late Sunday or early Monday, watch for slick spots. Carry an ice scraper, drive slowly, and allow extra time to reach your destination.
- Have an Emergency Kit Ready: With power outages possible, keep flashlights, extra batteries, blankets, and backup phone chargers on hand.
- Dress for the Arctic Blast: You won’t need a jacket Saturday afternoon, but by Sunday night, you’ll need full winter gear. Wear layers, gloves, and a hat if heading outside.
Final Thoughts
Nashville is about to experience one of the most extreme weather shifts of the season. From warm, stormy conditions on Saturday to freezing temperatures and icy roads on Sunday, this weekend will bring severe weather risks that should not be ignored.
Take precautions now, stay informed, and be ready for whatever Mother Nature throws our way. The worst of the storms will hit late Saturday night, followed by bitter cold on Sunday, so be prepared for a weekend of weather chaos
