If you’re heading out early in the morning this week, you’ll want to bundle up—but don’t be surprised if you’re shedding layers by lunchtime. Nashville is set for a dramatic temperature rollercoaster, with freezing mornings followed by warm, springlike afternoons.
As winter slowly loosens its grip, Middle Tennessee is experiencing what can only be described as weather whiplash. Temperatures will plummet to below freezing overnight, making for frosty starts to the day, only to surge into the upper 50s and 60s by the afternoon. This pattern will continue through the week, so dressing in layers is your best bet for staying comfortable.
Today’s Forecast: A Tale of Two Temperatures
Nashville will wake up to bitter cold on Monday, with morning lows hovering around 28°F (-2°C). The frosty air will make for a chilly commute, and anyone heading outside early should be prepared for a winter-like start to the day.
But by midday, a warm front will push in, bringing plenty of sunshine and much milder conditions. Temperatures will climb to a comfortable 59°F (15°C) in the afternoon, making it feel more like early spring than late February.
As the sun sets, the mercury will start to drop again, with overnight temperatures dipping to 41°F (5°C). While this is significantly warmer than the morning freeze, it will still be cool enough to warrant a jacket if you’re heading out after dark.
What’s Causing This Drastic Change?
This week’s sharp temperature swings are the result of shifting high-pressure and low-pressure systems, which are sending cold air southward overnight before allowing warm air to take over during the daytime.
This back-and-forth pattern is common in late February and early March as winter battles to hold on while spring attempts to break through.
How Will This Week’s Weather Play Out?
- Tuesday, February 25: Sunshine continues, bringing even warmer temperatures. Expect a high of 65°F (18°C) and a low of 35°F (2°C).
- Wednesday, February 26: A near springlike feel, with highs reaching 70°F (21°C). Lows will stay mild at 45°F (7°C).
- Thursday, February 27: A slight cooldown, with a chance for a morning shower before clearing skies. Highs will be 53°F (12°C), with overnight lows dropping to 33°F (1°C).
- Friday, February 28: A bright and sunny day, but cooler with a high near 50°F (10°C). Expect a low of 41°F (5°C).
- Saturday, March 1: Temperatures rebound, with a pleasant mix of sun and clouds. Highs will reach 61°F (16°C), while lows settle around 36°F (2°C).
How to Prepare for Nashville’s Temperature Swings
- Dress in layers – Mornings will be frigid, but afternoons will feel much warmer. Wearing multiple layers allows you to adjust as temperatures rise.
- Beware of slick roads in the morning – With below-freezing temperatures overnight, some areas may see patchy ice, especially on bridges and overpasses.
- Take advantage of the afternoon warmth – If you’ve been itching for outdoor activities, midday and afternoon temperatures will be perfect for a walk or run.
- Stay updated on changing conditions – While no severe storms are expected, rapid temperature changes can sometimes bring unexpected rain or gusty winds. Keep an eye on local forecasts.
Looking Ahead
Nashville is on the cusp of spring, but winter isn’t quite ready to say goodbye. While we’re seeing hints of warmth creeping in, these cold mornings are a clear reminder that the season isn’t over yet.
So for now, keep your winter coat nearby, but be ready to enjoy some afternoon sunshine. With these dramatic swings in temperature, Mother Nature is keeping us all on our toes
