Phoenix residents can expect a week of changing weather, starting off warm and sunny before a midweek cool-down and cloudy skies set in. By Friday, February 14, a weak weather system could bring morning rain, while the weekend promises a rebound in temperatures with sunnier skies.
Why the Sudden Weather Change?
A shifting weather pattern over the region is causing temperatures to fluctuate. A weak weather system moving in from the west will bring increased moisture and cloud cover, with a chance of light rain by Friday. High temperatures will dip during the middle of the week, but they’ll climb back up by Sunday, offering a brief return to more typical warm, dry weather.
Day-by-Day Breakdown of the Forecast
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Tuesday, February 11: A cooling trend begins, with partly sunny skies and a high of 70°F (21°C). The evening will bring cooler temperatures, with a low of 47°F (9°C). You might want to grab a light jacket if you’re heading out at night.
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Wednesday, February 12: The cool-down becomes more noticeable as mostly cloudy skies settle in. The high will be around 63°F (17°C), and the low will be 52°F (11°C). You’ll feel a chill in the air compared to earlier in the week.
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Thursday, February 13: Cloudy skies continue, but temperatures will rise slightly to a high of 68°F (20°C). The low will be 53°F (12°C). While rain isn’t expected just yet, the increased moisture signals what’s coming on Friday.
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Friday, February 14: Valentine’s Day will be cloudy with a chance of morning rain. The rain should clear by the afternoon, with some sunshine peeking through. The high will be 70°F (21°C), and the evening low will be 48°F (9°C). If you have dinner plans, you may want to keep an umbrella handy just in case.
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Saturday, February 15: Mostly cloudy skies will linger, but temperatures will climb to 72°F (22°C). The low will stay mild at 51°F (10°C).
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Sunday, February 16: Sunshine returns, breaking through high clouds, with a warm high of 76°F (25°C) and a low of 51°F (11°C). This will be the perfect day to enjoy outdoor activities as the warmer, drier conditions make a comeback.
How Much Rain Can Phoenix Expect?
While the rain won’t be heavy, the morning showers on Friday could briefly wet roads and disrupt outdoor plans. The National Weather Service in Phoenix has warned of an increase in moisture associated with a weak system moving through the region. Rainfall totals are expected to be light, but enough to cause slick roads during the morning commute.
This will likely be a quick event, with dry weather returning by the afternoon and continuing into the weekend.
What to Watch Out For This Week
- Temperature Swings: Daytime highs will dip to the low 60s°F by midweek before climbing back into the mid-70s°F by Sunday. You’ll need to layer your clothing to stay comfortable as temperatures shift.
- Morning Rain on Friday: The chance of showers could cause slippery conditions on the roads, so allow extra time for your morning commute.
- Cool Evenings: Overnight lows will drop into the 40s°F and low 50s°F, so make sure to dress warmly if you’re heading out after sunset.
How to Prepare for the Week
- Layer up: With daytime highs ranging from the 60s°F to the 70s°F and cooler nights in the 40s°F, dressing in layers will help you stay comfortable.
- Keep an umbrella nearby: While the rain on Friday morning is expected to be light, it’s always good to be prepared for pop-up showers.
- Plan outdoor activities for Sunday: If you’re looking for the best day to spend outdoors, Sunday’s sunny skies and mild temperatures will be perfect for hiking, biking, or a trip to the park.
- Drive cautiously on wet roads: Rain in Phoenix can lead to slick conditions, especially on roads and highways. Slow down and leave extra space between cars during Friday’s morning commute.
What Happens After This Week’s Rain?
Once the weak system moves out by Friday afternoon, drier conditions and warmer temperatures will return. The weekend will be partly sunny and warm, with highs in the mid-70s°F. Early next week, Phoenix could see another period of slightly cooler temperatures as a potential second system approaches.
Quick Forecast Recap:
- Tuesday: Partly sunny, high of 70°F (21°C), low of 47°F (9°C).
- Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, high of 63°F (17°C), low of 52°F (11°C).
- Thursday: Cloudy, high of 68°F (20°C), low of 53°F (12°C).
- Friday: Morning rain, then clearing, high of 70°F (21°C), low of 48°F (9°C).
- Saturday: Mostly cloudy, high of 72°F (22°C), low of 51°F (10°C).
- Sunday: Sunshine through high clouds, high of 76°F (25°C), low of 51°F (11°C).
Final Thoughts: A Little Bit of Everything for Phoenix This Week
Phoenix will experience a mix of warm sunshine, cooler days, and a chance of rain this week, offering a little bit of everything. While the midweek cool-down may have you reaching for a jacket, the weekend warm-up and return of the sun will be a welcome end to the week.
